Palabras clave
SpVAR
inseguridad
crecimiento económico
Cómo citar
Resumen
Foreign Direct Investment in Mexico has been of relevance in determining economic growth in Mexican states. Despite being positive for the country, FDI has been limited by prevailing insecurity in different states, which had historically attracted this kind of investment. States in the northern border and in the center have usually attracted the greatest amount of FDI. Through SpVAR we quantified investment and insecurity spillovers in each state and its neighboring states, and we show that the push-in effect has been larger than the push-out effect in Mexico.
Citas
Andrés-Rosales, Roldán; Quintana-Romero, Luis; De Jesús-Almonte, Leobardo and Del Río-Rama, María de la Cruz (2021), “Spatial spillovers of economic growth and public spending in Mexico: Evidence from a SpVAR model, 1999-2019”, Economic Analysis and Policy, vol. 71, Queensland, Economic Society of Australia, pp. 660-673, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eap.2021.07.004
Anselin, Luc (1988), Spatial econometrics methods and models, California, Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Appleyard, Dennis and Field, Alfred (2003), Economía Internacional, Ciudad de Mexico, McGraw Hill.
Ashby, Nathan and Ramos, Miguel (2013), “Foreign direct investment and industry response to organized crime: the mexican case”, European Journal of Political Economy, vol. 30, Amsterdam, Elsevier, pp. 80-91.
Barnes, Paul and Oloruntoba, Richard (2005), “Assurance of security in maritime supply chains: conceptual issues of vulnerability and crisis management”, Journal of International Management, 11 (4), Amsterdam, Elsevier, pp. 519-540, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2005.09.008
Barry, Frank; Görg, Holger and Strobl, Eric (2003), “Foreign direct investment, agglomerations, and demonstration effects: an empirical investigation”, Review of World Economics, 139 (4), Switzerland, Springer, pp. 583-600, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02653105
Bengoa, Marta y and Sanchez-Robles, Blanca (2003), “Foreign direct investment, economic freedom and growth: new evidence from Latin America”, European Journal of Political Economy, 19 (3), Amsterdam, Elsevier, pp. 529-545, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0176-2680(03)00011-9
Bennett, Juliette (2002), “Multinational corporations, social responsibility and conflict”, Journal of International Affairs, 55 (2), New York, Columbia University, pp. 396-410.
Berry, Julie and Levitt, Steven (1999), “Crime, urban flight, and the consequences for cities”, The Review of Economics and Statistics, 81 (2), Cambridge, Harvard Kennedy School, pp. 159-169, doi: https://doi.org/10.1162/003465399558030
BID (Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo) (2018), Inversión extranjera como motor del desarrollo para América Latina y el Caribe, Washington D. C., Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo, <https://tinyurl.com/mr3vwx2v>, October 1st, 2018.
Blonigen, Bruce and Feenstra, Robert, (1997), “Protectionist threats and foreign direct investment”, in Robert C. Feenstra (ed.), The Effects of U.S. Trade Protection and Promotion Policies, Chicago, University of Chicago Press, pp. 55-80.
Branzei, Oana and Abdelnour, Samer (2010), “Another day, another dollar: enterprise resilience under terrorism in developing countries”, Journal of International Business Studies, 41 (5), London, Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 804-825, doi: https://doi.org/10.1057/jibs.2010.6
Carbajal Suárez, Yolanda and Vergara González, Reyna (2015), “Inversión extranjera directa e inseguridad en México”, Economía Actual, 8 (2), Toluca, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México, pp. 23-29.
Czinkota, Michael; Knight, Gary; Liesch, Peter and Steen, John (2005), “Positioning terrorism in management and marketing: research propositions”, Journal of International Management, 11 (4), Sydney, Elsevier, pp. 581-604, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2005.09.011
Daniele, Vittorio and Marani, Ugo (2011), “Organized crime, the quality of local institutions and FDI in Italy: a panel data analysis”, European Journal of Political Economy, 27 (1), London, Thomson Scientific, pp. 132-142, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2010.04.003
DeCoster, Gregory and Strange, William (1993), “Spurious agglomeration”, Journal of Urban Economics, 33 (3), Ontario Canada, University of Toronto, pp. 273-304, doi: https://doi.org/10.1006/juec.1993.1017
Dunning, John (1993), Multinational enterprises and the global Economy, New York, Addison Wesley.
Dussel Peters, Enrique (2004), La inversión extranjera directa en México: desempeño y potencial. Una perspectiva macro, meso, micro y territorial, Ciudad de México, Siglo XXI editores.
Ellison, Glenn and Glaeser, Edward L. (1999), “The geographic concentration of industry: does natural advantage explain agglomeration?”, The American Economic Review, 89 (2), Washington D. C., American Economic Association, pp. 311-316.
Fajnzylber, Pablo; Lederman, Daniel and Loayza, Norman (2002), “Inequality and violent crime”, Journal of Law and Economics, 45 (1), Illinois, University of Chicago Press, pp. 1-40, doi: https://doi.org/10.1086/338347
Fiorentini, Gianluca and Peltzman Sam (1996), “Oligopolistic competition in illegal markets”, in: Gianluca Fiorentini (ed.), The Economics of Organised Crime, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, pp. 274-291.
Globerman, Steven and Storer, Paul (2009), “The Effects of 9/11 on Canadian-U.S. trade: an update through 2008”, Washington D. C., The Brookings Institution, <https://goo.su/1YZ4k>, June 9th, 2023.
Granger, Clive W. J. (1969), “Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods”, Econometrica, 37 (3), Cleveland, Econometric Society, pp. 424-438.
Greenbaum, Robert; Dugan, Laura and LaFree, Gary (2007), “The impact of terrorism on Italian employment and business activity”, Urban Studies, 44 (5-6), Glasgow, University of Glasgow, pp. 1093-1108, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00420980701255999
Gutiérrez-Portilla Paula; Maza, Adolfo; Villaverde, José and Hierro, María (2016), “Foreign direct investment in the SSpanish regions: what are the influencing factors?”, Journal or Regional Research, issue 35, Alcalá, Asociación Española de Ciencia Regional, pp. 67-82.
Guzmán Anaya, Leo (2013), “Inter-industry productivity spillovers from Japanese and US FDI in Mexico’s manufacturing sector”, Technology and Investment, 4 (4), Wuhan, Scientific Research Publishing Inc., pp. 236-243, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.4236/ti.2013.44028
Hallward-Driemeier, Mary and Stewart, David (2004), “How do investment climate conditions vary across countries, regions and types of firms? (English)”, Washington D. C., World Development Report background papers/ World Bank Group, <https://tinyurl.com/yez35pzy>, April 16th, 2021.
Inegi, (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía) (2021), “Banco de Información Económica”, Aguascalientes, Inegi, <https://acortar.link/1eptO7>, March 12th, 2021.
Krugman, Paul and Venables, Anthony J. (1996), “Integration, Specialization, and Adjustment”, European Economic Review, 40 (3), Amsterdam, Elsevier, pp. 959-967, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/0014-2921(95)00104-2
Kuethe, Todd and Pede, Valerien (2011), “Regional housing price cycles: a spatio-temporal analysis using US state-level data”, Regional studies, 45 (5), London, Taylor & Francis, pp. 563-574, doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00343400903497897
Lesage, James P. and Cashell, Bryce (2015), “A comparison of vector autorregresive forecasting performance: spatial versus non-spatial Bayesian priors”, The Annals of Regional Science, 54 (2), Heidelberg, Western Regional Science Association International-Springer, pp. 533-560, doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00168-015-0665-1
Lindsey Blanton, Shannon and Blanton, Robert G. (2007), “What attracts foreign investors? An examination of Human Rights and Foreign Direct Investment”, Journal of Politics, 69 (1), Chicago, The University of Chicago Press Journals, pp. 143-155, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2508.2007.00500.x
Madrazo, R. Federico (2009), “The effects of violent crime on FDI: the case of Mexico 1998-2006”, Masters thesis, Georgetown University, Washington, D. C., <https://goo.su/crRkiN>, August 12th, 2022.
Márquez, Miguel A.; Ramajo, Julián and Hewings, Geoffrey (2010), “A spatio-temporal econometric model of regional growth in Spain”, Journal of Geographical Systems, 12 (2), Heidelberg, Springer, pp. 207-226, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10109-010-0119-3
Márquez, Miguel A.; Ramajo, Julián and Hewings, Geoffrey (2014), “Regional growth and spatial spillovers: Evidence from an SpVAR for the Spanish regions”, Papers in Regional Science, 94 (5), Azores, Wiley-Blackwell, pp. S1-S18, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12102
Mejía, Daniel and Restrepo, Pascual (2010), “Crime and conspicuous consumption”, Working paper CEDE No. 2010-32, Bogotá, Universidad de los Andes, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1720919
Mogrovejo, Jesús (2005), “Factores determinantes de la inversión extranjera directa en algunos países de Latinoamérica”, Estudios Económicos de Desarrollo Internacional (AEEADE), vols. 5-2, Santiago de Compostella, Euro-American Association of Economic Development Studies, pp. 63-90.
Oetzel, Jennifer; Getz, Kathleen and Ledk, Stephen (2007), “The role of multinational enterprises in responding to violent conflict: a conceptual model and framework for research”, American Business Law Journal, 44 (2), Florida, John Wiley & Sons, pp. 331-358, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-1714.2007.00039.x
Pelegrín, Angels and Bolancé, Catalina (2008), “Regional foreign direct investment in manufacturing. Do agglomeration economic matter?”, Regional Studies, 42 (4), London, Taylor & Francis, pp. 505-522, doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00343400701543157
QGIS (Quantum Geographical Information System) (2020), “QGIS”, version 3.14., San Francisco, QGIS Development Team.
Quintana, Luis and Andrés-Rosales, Roldán (2014), Técnicas modernas de análisis regional, Ciudad de México, Plaza y Valdés.
Ramos, Miguel and Ashby, Nathan Ramos (2017), “The halo effect: violent crime and foreign direct investment”, Multinational Business Review, 25 (4), Branford, Emerald Publishing, pp. 287-306, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/MBR-04-2017-0020
Ramos, Miguel and Ashby, Nathan (2013), “Heterogeneous firm responses to organized crime: evidence from FDI in Mexico”, Journal of International Management, 19 (2), Philadelphia, Elsevier, pp. 176-194, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intman.2013.01.002
Secretaría de Economía (2021), “Inversión Extranjera Directa”, Aguascalientes, Secretaría de Economía, <https://tinyurl.com/2p8kfdmn>, March 12th, 2021.
SESNSP (Secretariado Ejecutivo del Sistema Nacional de Seguridad Pública) (2021), “Incidencia delictiva del fuero federal”, Ciudad de México, Gobierno de México, <https://goo.su/UID0U>, March 10th, 2021.
Torres-Preciado, Víctor Hugo, Polanco-Gaytán, Mayrén and Tinoco-Zermeño, Miguel Á. (2017), “Crime and regional economic growth in Mexico: a spatial perspective”, Papers in Regional Science, 96 (3), Azores, Wiley-Blackwell, pp. 477-494, doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12205
Trevino, Len. J.; Daniels, John and Arbeláez, Harvey (2002), “Market reform and FDI in Latin America: an empirical investigation”, Transnational Corporations, 11 (1), New York, United Nations Publications, pp. 44-47.
Esta obra está bajo una Licencia Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivar 4.0 Internacional.